I am not a huge fan of conspiracy theories. That conspiracies and cabals exist I am certain sure, and there are plenty of Star Chamber moments in every nation’s history. But the idea of some hidden group manipulating world history, that terrible events were the consequence of secret plots designed to propagate one political philosophy over another, don’t hold any water. Mostly because of the sheer numbers of people that need to be ‘in the loop’ in order for them to work.
It is very seductive to look back at events and see a path that leads to them quite clearly, and then to suggest that path was manipulated. But that is not how history works that is just how looking back works. History, for all its worth, works by going forward. The decisions we make, the events we participate in, all make history as we live our lives and it is impossible to co-ordinate those experiences so exactly that you can dictate the outcomes for hundreds of people. It is pretty difficult to predict the outcomes for a dozen or so people.
That doesn’t mean people do not try, but the ones who try, try to steer a pathway through events rather than dictate those events. They will throw a few events and personnel into the mix to try to help their agendas, that is as close to conspiracy as human beings can get.
History is only predictable when you look over past events, it is wholly unpredictable when you are living it.